cad | Ian Andrew Bell https://ianbell.com Ian Bell's opinions are his own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Ian Bell Wed, 25 Jun 2003 08:05:28 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.2 https://i0.wp.com/ianbell.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/cropped-electron-man.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 cad | Ian Andrew Bell https://ianbell.com 32 32 28174588 Bloggers ARE the Internet… https://ianbell.com/2003/06/25/bloggers-are-the-internet/ Wed, 25 Jun 2003 08:05:28 +0000 https://ianbell.com/2003/06/25/bloggers-are-the-internet/ http://www.guardian.co.uk/online/comment/story/0,12449,974523,00.html

Blogging’s too good for them

Paul Carr Monday June 9, 2003 The Guardian

Walking through the streets of Blogistan this week, I couldn’t help noticing a certain tension in the air. The natives were restless. The saloon bars were abuzz with nervous chatter. And it wasn’t about Buffy the Vampire Slayer. Something was most definitely up. But what? And who was this Eric Schmidt fellow that everyone was talking about? And why did I seem to be the only person in the world without his own weblog? Questions, questions.

Well it turns out that Schmidt is the CEO of Google (who knew?) and, if rumours are to be believed, he has plans to move weblogs out of the search engine’s main index and into a separate, less highly trafficked directory. What an absolute cad. Or at least he would be if the rumours weren’t just speculation – the result of an enthusiastic leap of blogic by IT news site the Register, who suggested that when Google launches its new weblog search tool, it may also decide to purge bloggers from its main database. Possibly.

No need for ordinary Blogistanis to panic just yet then – but the rumours did give internet experts an excuse to get all het up about the undue prominence of weblogs in Google search results. No matter what you search for – celebrity gossip, weapons of mass destruction, insect recipes, donkey porn – you can bet your bottom dollar that above the research papers and official news sources you’ll find a load of bloggers putting in their two pennyworth.

“Foul!” cry the blogger haters, “these two-bit amateur diarists are taking over the internet – it’s time we shoved them off into their own search engine, where they can do no more harm.” Just imagine… no more illiterate teenage wannabes clogging up the world’s most popular search engine with their idiotic “which Sex And The City character are you?” quizzes and incestuous links to their mates. No more American neo-Nazis babbling on about the Dixie Chicks and inciting racial hatred. No more tree-huggers talking about henna tattoos, home schooling and tofu. Just a list of proper sites full of proper information, written by proper journalists and proper academics. Fantastic. And if people want to hang out with Joe Blogs then fine, they can just click the appropriate tab and wallow until their brains turn to mush.

The only slight problem is that, despite what some commentators would have you believe, bloggers are not the scourge of the internet. In fact they are the internet. The whole point of the web was to allow anyone, regardless of budget or influence, to share information with the rest of the world. It certainly wasn’t supposed to be a giant electronic shopping mall or an interactive brand extension for major broadcasters and publishers.

Also, there seems to be an assumption that all weblogs are pointless, self-absorbed amateur journals that can be lumped together under a single search tab. This despite the fact that an increasing number of high-profile journalists and publishers are using weblog software as an easy and cost-effective way to deliver first-rate, original content to thousands – or even millions – of readers. Take Salam Pax, the Iraqi who has just been recruited by this newspaper on the strength of his wartime weblog.

While my favourite tabloid columnist, Tony “idiot” Parsons spent the conflict in front of his computer bashing out page after page of laddish nonsense for the Mirror’s unique readership of warmongering peaceniks, Salam was in Baghdad, using his blog to drive home the realities of war to a vast international audience. And yet, if the haters had their way Salam would be dragged off into the bloghetto while Parsons remained a free man. What kind of justice is that?

Do they really believe that it’s possible to separate the web into legitimate information sites (good) and weblogs (evil) or that by purging bloggers from Google, the internet will suddenly become more relevant and more useful? Not only is this hilariously simplistic but it’s also diverting attention from the real problem – that the web is drowning in a sea of crap, created partly by the less literate webloggers but also by biased media outlets, hate groups, pointless personal homepages, porn sites, multilevel marketers and out and out loons.

If Google really wants to improve its service then it should forget about trying to treat bloggers as one homogenous, problematic group and start developing intelligent search robots that are capable of separating the wheat from the chaff across the entire web. These robots should: a) look at the actual content of a site and decide whether the content is useful and worth reading, b) group it together with other relevant sites to give surfers a comprehensive overview of all the available information on whatever subject they’re interested in and c) ensure that these handy packages of links and information appear at the top of the search results, above all the unfiltered rubbish.

A utopian technological fantasy? Not really. In fact these robots already exist. They’re called webloggers. And without them Google’s index would be a much poorer place.

ร‚ยท Paul Carr is editor of The Friday Thing (www.thefridaything.co.uk). His new print publication, The London News Review, launches in August

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Nortel Up? https://ianbell.com/2002/10/24/nortel-up/ Thu, 24 Oct 2002 23:13:59 +0000 https://ianbell.com/2002/10/24/nortel-up/ Well, I guess I was somewhat correct about the short term win on Nortel.

As you’ll recall from Monday, I bought my Nortel for about $0.72 and I just sold at today’s close for about $1.07 (US Priced). Not a bad return for a four day investment. I suspect tomorrow Nortel will trend downward, given that it’s a Friday and there will be some profit takers. If that happens, I will buy in again tomorrow afternoon or Monday AM. I still believe in my original investment strategy, however, and Nortel is not a long term hold for me. Next big announcement and I’m out for sure, possibly for good.

Maybe I can rebuild my RRSP just trading this one stock. I just inflated it by 45%. ๐Ÿ™‚

-Ian.

—— http://biz.yahoo.com/rc/021024/tech_nortel_stock_3.html Reuters Nortel shares race higher as cash concerns ease Thursday October 24, 3:05 pm ET By Franco Pingue

(Adds analyst comment, updates share price. Figures in U.S. dollars unless noted)

TORONTO, Oct 24 (Reuters) – Shares of Nortel Networks Corp. (Toronto:NT.TO – News; NYSE:NT – News) charged higher on Thursday as fears that the company’s cash reserves were drying up began to ease, while some investors rushed to cover short positions.

ADVERTISEMENT Nortel shares, which have soared 149 percent since touching a low of 65 Canadian cents on Oct. 10, were up 26 Canadian cents, or 18 percent, at C$1.67 on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

In New York, the shares were ahead 17 cents, or 19 percent, at $1.07.

Short selling occurs when investors borrow shares and sell them, hoping to buy them back at a lower price. When markets rise, short sellers must quickly buy back the shares before the price runs too high.

“Things can only keep going down forever if you think they are going bankrupt,” said John Wilson, an analyst with RBC Capital Markets.

“Now that people are realizing that Nortel is not going to go bankrupt, or that there is a very low risk of that happening, then they are willing to pay a much higher price for the stock.”

Last week Nortel, one of the world’s largest telecom equipment makers, posted a narrower third-quarter loss, in line with expectations, and said it was on track to return to profit.

Wilson, who has an “outperform” rating on Nortel shares with a $2 target price, also said that he does not expect spending in the tech industry to rebound next year.

“Next year we fully believe (capital expenditures) will be down again, spending will be down and Nortel’s revenues will be down, but as long as you don’t think they’re going bankrupt there is a price for everything.”

Benoit Chotard, an analyst with National Bank Financial, who feels Nortel’s stock was oversold recently, also does not see a spending recovery in the battered technology industry until 2004.

“The perception was too negative on Nortel,” said Benoit Chotard, an analyst with National Bank Financial. “Things are much better than what was anticipated in the context of a very tough environment.”

Chotard has a “market perform” rating on Nortel shares with a target price of C$1.50.

($1=$1.56 Canadian)

On Monday, October 21, 2002, at 07:52 AM, Ian Andrew Bell wrote:

> Nortel is probably going to experience a rally today based on news of
> a Wireless deal in China worth $280M. But they could experience a
> more sustained rally over the next two weeks as rumours fly around
> about their intended reaction to their plight.
>
> Now, I have virtually nothing to substantiate these predictions, so
> please take them with a grain of salt:
>
> 1) I think that Nortel has put their Enterprise products & services
> group, which is profitable, in play. I suspect their goal is to sell
> it for some quick cash. I would expect this to get between $5Bn and
> $7Bn and would stem the tide of impending doom for several years.
> 2) I think that they’ll use part of that money to write down and
> shutter the Optical business. Beneficiaries of this will include
> Juniper and to a lesser extent Cisco.
>
> I think that this puts the entire company very much in play for an
> acquisition by Cisco or Alcatel, except for one thing: cash in the
> bank.
>
> So, this morning I bought Juniper and Nortel, and we’ll see what
> happens.
>
> -Ian.
>
> ———–
> FoIB mailing list — Bits, Analysis, Digital Group Therapy
> https://ianbell.com:8888/foib.html

———–

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FW: Buy beer AND beer stocks https://ianbell.com/2002/05/02/fw-buy-beer-and-beer-stocks/ Fri, 03 May 2002 01:01:33 +0000 https://ianbell.com/2002/05/02/fw-buy-beer-and-beer-stocks/ —— Forwarded Message From: Shiuman Ho Date: Thu, 02 May 2002 15:50:48 -0700 To: hello [at] ianbell [dot] com Subject: Buy beer AND beer stocks

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/020502/5/m62f.html

It would appear that if I had bought Molson (the beer and the stock) in the past two years, I would now be richer and happier. Molson’s stock tripled while many high tech stocks dropped by 90%.

Shiuman

=========================================== Thursday May 2 6:15 PM EST

Molson Brews Bigger Profit, Says Cheers to Brazil

MONTREAL (Reuters) – Molson Inc.(Toronto:MOLa.TO – news), Canada’s oldest brewer, said on Thursday higher beer volumes and gains in market share added fizzle to its fourth-quarter earnings.

Molson, which became the world’s 13th largest brewer with the purchase of Brazil’s Kaiser in March, said it earned C$33.6 million ($21.5 million), or 28 Canadian cents a share, from continuing operations in the quarter ended March 31, up from C$25.7 million, or 22 Canadian cents a share, in the year-earlier period.

Revenue increased 10 percent to C$455.9 million.

“Our results are fine, but there is a lot more to achieve,” Molson president and chief executive, Daniel O’Neill, said in a conference call with analysts.

O’Neill said Molson would start a review of its Canadian and Brazilian operations in the coming days to look at increased cost savings and efficiencies opportunities.

Molson bought Kaiser, Brazil’s second-largest brewer, last month in a cash and stock deal worth $765 million. The deal was done in partnership with Heineken of the Netherlands, which scooped up a 20 percent stake. It increased Molson’s share of the fast-growing Brazilian beer market to 17.8 percent from 3.1 percent.

“The Kaiser transaction is clearly a transformational event for Molson,” O’Neill said, adding it would double the company’s volume.

But O’Neill said Kaiser’s profitability was lagging that of AmBev, which holds a 70 percent grip on the Brazilian market, and vowed to review marketing strategies to shore up the bottom line.

Reacting to published speculation about Heineken (HEIN.AS) buying Molson, O’Neill was unequivocal.

“There is not a bloody chance that this is going to happen,” he told analysts.

Molson’s fourth-quarter volumes increased by 12.3 percent to 3.3 million hectolitres, with volume in the mature Canadian market growing 1.5 percent, Molson said.

Its market share in Canada, where Molson locks horn with rival Labatt, owned by Belgium’s Interbrew, improved by 0.1 percent share point to 45.3 percent. In the United States, volume grew 1.3 percent during the quarter.

Molson stock ended up 35 Canadian cents at C$35.80 on the Toronto Stock Exchange on Thursday, near its year high of C$36.50.

The stock has more than tripled its value over the past two years as management refocused the company on its core brewing business, selling the fabled, but money-losing, Montreal Canadiens professional hockey team in the process.

($1=$1.56 Canadian)

—— End of Forwarded Message

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FW: AOL buys IIA https://ianbell.com/2001/05/18/fw-aol-buys-iia/ Fri, 18 May 2001 19:04:55 +0000 https://ianbell.com/2001/05/18/fw-aol-buys-iia/ —— Forwarded Message From: dennis Organization: Pigsty Industries Reply-To: dennis [at] chimpz [dot] com Date: Fri, 18 May 2001 09:22:01 -0700 To: ian [at] ianbell [dot] com Subject: AOL buys IIA

One of the best goes to one of the worst . . .

America Online, Inc. To Acquire InfoInterActive Inc.

DULLES, VA, and HALIFAX, NS, May 18 /CNW/ – America Online, Inc., the world’s leading interactive services company, today announced it has reached a definitive agreement to acquire InfoInterActive Inc. (TSE: IIA, NASDAQ: IIAA), the leading Internet call management services provider, for U.S.

$28.2 million in cash (CDN $43.3 million based on current exchange rates). Under the terms of the acquisition agreement, AOL will acquire all of the outstanding shares of InfoInterActive for U.S. $1.42 (CDN $2.18 based on current exchange rates) for each share of InfoInterActive. The transaction has been unanimously approved by the Board of Directors of InfoInterActive.

InfoInterActive launched the world’s first call waiting service for the

Internet, Internet Call Manager (ICM), in 1997, allowing people to manage incoming phone calls while online. ICM provides customers with real-time notification of incoming calls so Internet users can stay online without missing calls or messages.

Donn Davis, President of America Online’s Interactive Properties Group,

said: “InfoInterActive’s technology allows people to seamlessly manage incoming phone calls while they’re online, making their online experience more convenient. InfoInterActive’s talented team will provide us with deep expertise in Internet call management.”

Bill McMullin, Chairman and CEO of InfoInterActive Inc., said: “I am very pleased to be able to build on the success we’ve achieved so far, extending the utility, functionality and convenience of InfoInterActive’s call management technology as part of America Online. As the leader in instant messaging, AOL fully understands the power of simple, real-time

communications tied to your Internet presence. I look forward to continuing our work to expand and enhance the call management applications and services we currently offer.”

The transaction will be completed by means of a Plan of Arrangement which will require the approval of an aggregate of 66 2/3% of the votes cast by holders of common shares, options and warrants of InfoInterActive at a securityholders’ meeting. Significant shareholders of InfoInterActive plus directors, officers and employees of InfoInterActive, who collectively represent approximately 33% of the fully diluted shares, have agreed to vote their securities in favor of the transaction. InfoInterActive expects to mail a management proxy circular to shareholders within the next two weeks. The transaction is subject to court and customary regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions and is expected to close in July.

The acquisition agreement contains customary non-solicitation provisions and a termination fee payable by InfoInterActive to AOL of U.S. $1.41 million under certain circumstances. AOL also has the right under the acquisition agreement to match any competing bids that may arise.

Broadview International LLC acted as financial advisor to InfoInterActive and provided a fairness opinion to the Board of Directors of InfoInterActive.

InfoInterActive also entered into an operating agreement with AOL whereby InfoInterActive has agreed to develop certain technology and grant a license for certain intellectual property to AOL.

InfoInterActive’s operations will continue to be based in Halifax, Nova

Scotia, Canada where it will operate as a wholly owned subsidiary of America Online, Inc.

About America Online

America Online, Inc. is a wholly owned subsidiary of AOL Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: AOL). Based in Dulles, Virginia, America Online is the world’s leader in interactive services, Web brands, Internet technologies and e-commerce services.

About InfoInterActive

InfoInterActive invents, develops and deploys innovative communications

products and services that link telephone, wireless and Internet networks. In 1997, the company defined the Internet call waiting industry with the launch of its patented flagship product Internet Call Manager. Today, InfoInterActive products and services are simplifying communications by

bringing familiar, easy-to-use telephone features to Internet-enabled appliances such as the personal computer and Web television. InfoInterActive markets its products and services worldwide through its network of partners, which includes Verizon, Intel, TELUS, ADC, Prodigy and many others. Further information is available at www.infointeractive.com.

This report may contain certain forward-looking statements that relate to future events or future business and financial performance. Such statements can only be predictions and the actual events or results may

differ from those discussed. The companies caution that these statements are subject to important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements and are more fully discussed in periodic reports filed with Securities and Exchange Commission.

%SEDAR: 00002869E -0- 05/18/2001

For further information: Jim Whitney, America Online (703) 265-1746; Elaine Benoit, Communications Manager, InfoInterActive Inc., Tel (902) 832-3614, E-mail media [at] infointeractive [dot] com; For investor inquiries, contact: InfoInterActive Investor Relations, E-mail investor [at] infointeractive [dot] com

—— End of Forwarded Message

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Alcatel Buys Newbridge https://ianbell.com/2000/02/23/alcatel-buys-newbridge/ Thu, 24 Feb 2000 06:59:30 +0000 https://ianbell.com/2000/02/23/alcatel-buys-newbridge/ Wednesday February 23 6:03 PM ET Alcatel Buys Newbridge to Boost Position By Susan Taylor OTTAWA (Reuters) – It was a long dance, but Alcatel (CGEP.PA) on Wednesday finally won Newbridge Networks Corp.(Toronto:NNC.TO – news) in a $7.1 billion deal that will give the French telecoms equipment maker a more solid footing in the United States. Alcatel, which launched takeover negotiations four months ago with Canada’s Newbridge, said on Wednesday it had struck an all-stock deal to exchange 0.81 of an Alcatel American Depositary Share for each Newbridge common share. Alcatel will issue about 35 million shares, equivalent to 17.6 percent of its current capital, to finance the acquisition. Shareholder approval is still pending for the merger, which is expected to close in late May or early June. The much anticipated takeover comes after Newbridge said in November it was open to offers following its sixth earnings warning in 10 quarters. At one time, Newbridge was speaking to five companies, President and COO Pearse Flynn told Reuters. Newbridge hit the selling block as acquisition-hungry Alcatel was looking to expand its product line and gain a better foothold in the rich U.S. market. Last September, Alcatel struck its fifth U.S. purchase in 12 months. “The clear objective is to position Alcatel among the top three players worldwide,” said Alcatel Chief Executive Serge Tchuruk in a conference call on Wednesday. “We believe that this is the right time to do this deal.” Alcatel, which has more than half the global market for asymmetric digital subscriber line (ADSL) technology for high-speed Internet access, said its combination with Newbridge allows it to take on network giants Lucent Technologies Inc. (NYSE:LU – news), Nortel Networks Corp. (Toronto:NT.TO – news)(NYSE:NT – news), and Cisco Systems Inc. (NasdaqNM:CSCO – news) An explosion of network traffic, fueled largely by burgeoning use of the Internet, is increasing demand for network equipment. In turn, that is triggering increased spending by Alcatel customers on asynchronous transfer mode technology — Newbridge’s flagship equipment, Tchuruk said. “We want to make sure that we’re there with not just our access equipment — but also the switching and the core equipment that goes behind it,” said Alcatel Chief Operating Officer Krish Prabhu in an interview with Reuters. Newbridge has a 23-percent share of the world market for ATM equipment, which transmits multimedia data at high speeds across large networks. It bolstered that position with its December release of the world’s highest-capacity ATM switch. Newbridge, which released record third-quarter revenues of C$521 million on Wednesday morning, said it is now seeing the benefits of new product releases from recent acquisitions and internal development efforts. In 2000, Alcatel said Newbridge will contribute operating income of $160 million, which includes $50 million in savings. In 2001, Newbridge contributes operating income of $430 million, including $150 million in savings. The two firms now face the task of merging operations. A new division, which will be based in Newbridge’s Ottawa-area headquarters and led by Flynn, is expected to have proforma annual sales of more than $2.5 billion. The combination brings to Alcatel such benefits as greater credibility and larger market presence, said Paul Sagawa, analyst at Sanford Bernstein & Co. in New York. “However, there are always going to be integration issues — particularly with a company with a culture as strong as Newbridge.” Newbridge founder and CEO Terry Matthews — who owns 22 percent of the company — will not remain an employee with Alcatel beyond the transition, though there has been no decision if he will hold any other titles, such as director. “I will enjoy very much…growing complementary technology companies on the one hand, and the other hand in working particularly with Krish and Pearse in raising the company’s profile in North America,” said Matthews during the conference call. The purchase also includes Newbridge’s stake in a string of affiliate companies including CrossKeys Systems Corp. (Toronto:CKY.TO – news), which makes network management software, and Tundra Semiconductor Corp. (Toronto:TUN.TO – news) Alcatel said it expects annual cost savings of $220 million by 2003 from overlap cuts, economies-of-scale and margin improvements from the elimination of some channel partners. Few job cuts are expected, Flynn said. Newbridge shares fell C$2.60 on the Toronto Stock Exchange to end at C$48.00 in heavy trade of nearly 15 million shares on Wednesday, while on New York the issue dipped 2 3/16 to 32 13/16 on 13.7 million shares. Alcatel stock lost 8.63 on the Paris bourse to end trade at 217 euros. ($1-$1.46 Canadian)

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Nortel Takes Newbridge? https://ianbell.com/1999/08/31/nortel-takes-newbridge/ Wed, 01 Sep 1999 02:09:24 +0000 https://ianbell.com/1999/08/31/nortel-takes-newbridge/ http://www.worldlyinvestor.com/article/article.jtmpl?article_id=3631

Meanwhile in Canada: Nortel Takes Newbridge? August 31, 1999 6:22 AM EDT

By Bob Beaty Canada Editor

Click here to sign up for free newsletters. Click here to set up your free portfolio.

There’s been a lot of ink spilled over network equipment stocks in Canada. And now rumors are surfacing out of the US that we may have one fewer.

Not that it will cause a huge ripple in the Force mind you, but there’s some speculation surfacing that giant Nortel Networks (quote, chart, profile) may well take a run at Newbridge Networks (quote, chart, profile).

Makes sense, as the former is about 20 times larger than the latter: Nortel could do the deal for pocket change. And even though Newbridge’s fortunes are improving, Nortel would still not have to pay anywhere near the old high of $60 per share for the company if it moves quickly.

NN currently trades at about $27, so there’s likely to be a healthy premium, but given Nortel’s size and market share, Newbridge can be taken for parts. It’s hardly a meaningful competitor.

Neither company had a stellar 1998. Nortel lost nearly C$1.50 per share and Newbridge posted a C$0.10 loss. Both took a major earnings hit last year with Nortel showing a -28% three-year performance.

-Ian.

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